Locktopus

Locktopus

Locktopus
Sharp MoneySharp planComing soon

Follow the sharpest sports bettors on Polymarket, lane by lane

Sharp Money is coming to the Sharp plan. It tracks the wallets betting sports on Polymarket, settles every position, scores each one against the price at the close, and ranks bettors by the sport and market they actually win in, so when a proven wallet backs a side you can see it.

  • Coming soon to the Sharp plan
  • Scored against the closing line
  • Records by sport and market
  • Sports markets only

How Sharp Money works

From raw exchange trades to a record you can trust

  1. 1

    Ingest sports trades from Polymarket

    Every trade on a Polymarket sports market is pulled in and tied to the wallet that made it. Election and macro markets never enter the ledger, and transfer and roster markets are set aside because they are not wagers on a contest.

  2. 2

    Sort each trade into a lane

    A lane is a sport plus a market type: NBA spreads, soccer totals, MLB moneylines. The claim is never that a wallet wins, but that it wins in a specific lane, so anything the classifier cannot place is marked unknown rather than guessed.

  3. 3

    Settle it and score it against the close

    An average-cost ledger turns buys, add-ons and exits into realized profit per pick. Each pregame pick is also scored against the market price five minutes before the event starts, which is the closing line.

  4. 4

    Rank with the sample size showing

    Adjusted ROI, the share of picks that beat the close and average closing-line value are reported per lane, alongside how many settled picks they rest on. Below five picks, no rate is shown at all.

Built to be honest about who is sharp

Every number is designed so it cannot flatter a small sample

Closing-line value, measured properly

The close is read five minutes before the start, late enough to absorb lineups and early enough to miss the in-play jump. A print more than an hour old is never used, and trades placed after the start are left unscored.

Lanes, not lifetime totals

A wallet's record is split by sport and by moneyline, spread, total, prop or future. A bettor who is excellent at soccer totals and poor at NBA spreads shows as exactly that.

Sample size on every number

Each rate comes with the settled picks behind it, a five-dot sample indicator and a 95% confidence interval around ROI. A hot number over a small sample reads as a small sample.

Real profit from a real ledger

Polymarket is an exchange, so a position is bought, added to, trimmed and sometimes held to resolution. Profit is computed on an average-cost basis, the same way Polymarket reports positions, so the numbers reconcile.

Call signs you can talk about

Wallets get a stable two-word name derived from their address, with words chosen to imply nothing about skill or luck. The wallet's Polymarket pseudonym is kept so you can cross-check the record on Polymarket itself.

See what a wallet is holding

Open positions with average and current price, plus recent trades with side, size and price. Tag a wallet to follow it, and set a minimum bet size so small trades stay out of your feed.

Measure your own closing-line value today

Sharp Money scores other people's bets against the close. My Bets does the same for yours: log a bet, and once it settles you see whether you beat the closing price at your book.

Who Sharp Money is for

  • Bettors who want a second opinion

    When a wallet with a real record in a lane takes a side, that is information. It is not a pick, and the sample size is shown so you can weigh it.

  • People who follow Polymarket already

    Sports volume on Polymarket is large and public, but a wallet address tells you nothing. Sharp Money turns it into a named record by sport and market.

  • Sharp-plan subscribers

    Sharp Money is being built for the Sharp plan alongside live odds and custom book weightings. It is marked coming soon in the app and on the pricing page.

Frequently asked questions

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is the action of bettors who consistently beat the closing line, the market's final price before an event starts. Because sharp bets tend to move the line, tracking where sharp money goes is a way to read which side the best-informed bettors are on.

What does Sharp Money on Locktopus do?

It tracks wallets that bet on Polymarket's sports markets, settles every position, scores each pregame pick against the closing price, and ranks bettors by their record in each sport and market type. It is in development and marked coming soon.

When will Sharp Money launch?

There is no launch date to share. The feature is marked coming soon in the app and on the pricing page, and it will be part of the Sharp plan when it ships.

Why Polymarket rather than sportsbooks?

Polymarket trades are public and tied to a wallet, so a bettor's full history can be read and settled independently. Sportsbook accounts are private, so no equivalent record exists to score.

How do you decide a wallet is sharp?

By its settled record in a lane: adjusted ROI, the share of picks that beat the close and average closing-line value, each shown with the sample it came from. Live trades are not scored against the close, and rates below five settled picks are withheld.

How is Sharp Money different from My Bets?

My Bets tracks your own bets and shows the closing-line value on each one. Sharp Money applies the same closing-line standard to other bettors' Polymarket positions, so you can see who beats the close before you follow them.

Which plan will include Sharp Money?

Sharp Money is part of the Sharp plan. Once it launches, Free, Basic and Pro accounts will see a limited preview.

Be ready when Sharp Money launches

Sharp Money is coming to the Sharp plan. Compare plans now and it will be there when it ships.